GenesisAeon

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P125 · v1.0.0 · 2026-09-01

Assisted Gene Flow

assisted-gene-flow-utac

Kein UTAC/CREP/AFET-BridgeOzeanBiosphäreMIT

Real assisted gene flow / coral selective-breeding science: regulatory reform enabling proactive AGF for Caribbean elkhorn coral (Baker et al. 2025, Science, DOI 10.1126/science.adx5842) and real, measured larval heat-tolerance gains up to 2.2-fold (Lago et al. 2025, Proc. R. Soc. B, DOI 10.1098/rspb.2025.1817). Honesty check: the same study finds adult response variable -- whether juvenile gains persist to reproductive adulthood is a genuinely open question. Deliberately corrects an initial outbreeding-depression framing (low risk for corals specifically). Deliberately no UTAC/CREP/AFET bridge -- see DISCLAIMER.md. GenesisAeon P125.

Live von GitHub, Stand 11.09.2026, 20:42

Laienverständliche Fassung (Deutsch)

Paket-DOI

Keine eigene Paket-DOI in CITATION.cff oder .zenodo.json.

Quellen-DOIs

Literatur je Paket

  1. Proactive assisted gene flow for Caribbean corals in an era of rapid coral reef decline

    Science, 2025

    10.1126/science.adx5842
  2. Selective breeding enhances coral heat tolerance even over small spatial scales

    Proceedings of the Royal Society B, 2025

    10.1098/rspb.2025.1817
  3. Ecological genomics meets community-level modelling of biodiversity: mapping the genomic landscape of current and future environmental adaptation

    Ecology Letters, 2015

    10.1111/ele.12376

Schlagworte

GenesisAeonP125climatecoralassisted gene flowconservation geneticsopen-science

Disclaimer

DISCLAIMER — Real Science, a Corrected Honesty-Check Angle, No Framework Bridge

Why no UTAC/CREP/AFET bridge: not only because the cited literature already provides the necessary quantitative structure -- a deliberate choice. This project's highly speculative AFET/UTAC experiments must never stand in the way of climate/ecology topics being accessible and usable to people who don't work inside that construct and aren't looking for renormalization groups. Real, checkable science, without the burden of an unproven framework. See PACKAGE_REGISTRY.md's "Why no UTAC/CREP/AFET bridge in the climate/ecology series" (2026-08-31) in the GenesisAeon workspace root for the full canonical note.

Status: Real, independently verified science. NO UTAC/CREP/AFET bridge. One honesty-check angle deliberately corrected before building.

Where this package came from

Surfaced via a six-document multi-AI gap-analysis of the GenesisAeon climate/ecology portfolio (KlimaAktuell/, six independently-produced documents, 2026-09-01), cross-checked against PACKAGE_REGISTRY.md, then independently deep-dive re-verified before building.

A real correction made before writing any code

The initial candidate-topic summary proposed outbreeding depression as this package's honesty-check complication (a common general concern in assisted-gene-flow literature). A dedicated deep-dive verification pass found this specific framing does not hold for corals: current literature considers outbreeding depression a LOW risk for coral AGF specifically, because corals typically have high existing genetic diversity and an outcrossed population structure -- unlike some other AGF contexts (e.g. small, isolated terrestrial populations) where it is a real, live concern. This package

README

Technische Dokumentation (Englisch)

assisted-gene-flow-utac

GenesisAeon Package 125 — real assisted gene flow / coral selective-breeding science. Deliberately has no UTAC/CREP/AFET bridge — see DISCLAIMER.md.

For a plain-language explanation of the same topic (German, no jargon, written for general audiences), see WHITEPAPER.md.

Where this package came from

Surfaced via a six-document multi-AI gap-analysis of the GenesisAeon climate/ecology portfolio (KlimaAktuell/, 2026-09-01), then independently deep-dive verified before building — alongside ocean-acidification-utac (P122), tropical-glacier-ecosystem-rle-utac (P123), marine-compound-stressors-utac (P124), and climate-landuse-biodiversity-nexus-utac (P126).

What's real here

  • Baker et al. (2025, Science)* — real regulatory reform enabled
  • the world's first international coral exchange, specifically to
  • bolster genetic diversity in declining Caribbean elkhorn coral
  • (Acropora palmata) populations via proactive assisted gene flow
  • (AGF), across the tropical western Atlantic.
  • Lago et al. (2025, Proceedings of the Royal Society B)* — a
  • real, measured empirical anchor: selective breeding improved larval
  • heat tolerance by up to 2.2-fold in two Acropora species at
  • Ningaloo Reef, Western Australia.
  • Fitzpatrick & Keller (2015, Ecology Letters)* — the foundational
  • genomic-offset methodology used to identify AGF source/target
  • population pairs.

Deliberately not one-sided

The SAME Lago et al. 2025 study that reports the strong larval gain also reports that adult response to heat stress was variablewas_adult_response_variable() returns True, and is_juvenile_gain_confirmed_to_persist_to_reproductive_adulthood() returns False. Whether juvenile thermal-tolerance gains actually persist into reproductive adulthood is the real, currently open question in the field.

This package also deliberately corrects an initially-proposed honesty-check angle: outbreeding depression is not the main current concern for coral AGF specifically (corals have high existing genetic diversity and outcrossed population structure, unlike some other AGF contexts) — is_outbreeding_depression_the_main_current_concern_for_corals() returns False.

Quickstart

bash pip install assisted-gene-flow-utac

```python from assisted_gene_flow_utac import ( larval_heat_tolerance_max_fold_improvement, was_adult_response_variable, is_juvenile_gain_confirmed_to_persist_to_reproductive_adulthood, is_outbreeding_depression_the_main_current_concern_for_corals, )

print(larval_heat_tolerance_max_fold_improvement()) # 2.2 print(was_adult_response_variable()) # True -- the honesty check print(is_juvenile_gain_confirmed_to_persist_to_reprodu

Verwandte Pakete

Gezielte Maßnahmen wirken trotz Gesamtrückgang

Dieselbe reale Befundform in drei Paketen (Walker et al. 2023 für coral-reef, Simkins et al. 2025 für biodiversity, prospektiv/interventionell für assisted-gene-flow) -- bisher nicht gegenseitig verlinkt in den Paketen selbst.